Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.033274 0.038665 0.044594 0.051591 0.059615 0.068520 0.079144
2025-10-19 0.024633 0.031516 0.039780 0.050403 0.063663 0.079633 0.100289
2025-10-26 0.019257 0.026787 0.036540 0.050029 0.068121 0.091460 0.123747
2025-11-02 0.015124 0.022671 0.033128 0.048554 0.070588 0.100755 0.144979
2025-11-09 0.012210 0.019579 0.030426 0.047376 0.072972 0.109899 0.166843
2025-11-16 0.010280 0.017522 0.028778 0.047298 0.076683 0.121084 0.192668
2025-11-23 0.008532 0.015402 0.026638 0.046035 0.078254 0.129053 0.214360
2025-11-30 0.007739 0.014703 0.026621 0.048084 0.085200 0.145934 0.251605
2025-12-07 0.006755 0.013488 0.025527 0.048110 0.088699 0.157518 0.281361
2025-12-14 0.005720 0.011991 0.023698 0.046548 0.089182 0.163984 0.303029
2025-12-21 0.004999 0.010972 0.022577 0.046085 0.091490 0.173715 0.331179
2025-12-28 0.004743 0.010842 0.023118 0.048807 0.099955 0.195168 0.382295
2026-01-04 0.004385 0.010453 0.023122 0.050536 0.106843 0.214648 0.432183
2026-01-11 0.003788 0.009440 0.021705 0.049197 0.107529 0.222538 0.461065
2026-01-18 0.003350 0.008710 0.020778 0.048746 0.109944 0.233982 0.497945
2026-01-25 0.002897 0.007864 0.019465 0.047268 0.110000 0.240691 0.526007
2026-02-01 0.002529 0.007158 0.018364 0.046100 0.110557 0.248424 0.556837
2026-02-08 0.002276 0.006698 0.017770 0.046015 0.113479 0.261345 0.599677
2026-02-15 0.001992 0.006103 0.016756 0.044780 0.113611 0.268250 0.630240
2026-02-22 0.001901 0.006030 0.017042 0.046774 0.121540 0.293041 0.702248
2026-03-01 0.001728 0.005685 0.016573 0.046798 0.124725 0.307456 0.752352
2026-03-08 0.001511 0.005167 0.015564 0.045276 0.123912 0.312592 0.781741
2026-03-15 0.001360 0.004825 0.014986 0.044824 0.125738 0.324067 0.826910